![]() Per the Census Bureau, the percentage of the U.S. ![]() This compared to 1980 when the white vote stood at 88%. In 2020, whites accounted for 67% of the vote. The implications over the long haul are profound given the demographic changes taking place, with the percentage of the white vote, which accounts for the majority of Republican votes, shrinking in each election. With recent elections decided by tiny margins in battleground states, a fundamental change in voting behavior by one key demographic - Blacks - can be a game changer. Overall, the 47-point differential in this latest survey is the smallest since Gallup first started doing the survey in 1999, when the differential was 72 points. In just three years, the differential between Black support for Democrats and for Republicans has shrunk 19 points. Now we have new data from Gallup reporting that “The Democratic Party’s wide lead over Republicans in Black Americans’ party preferences has shrunk by nearly 20 points over the past three years.”Īmong Black Americans surveyed, 66% said they identify as Democrat/lean Democrat and 19% Republican/lean Republican, for a differential of 47 points.Ī little over three years ago in 2020, in the same survey, 77% of Black Americans identified as Democrat/lean Democrat, compared to 11% identifying as Republican/lean Republican, for a differential of 66 points. However, the poll shows Black sentiment moving away from Democrats with almost 20% of Black voters indicating they would support a third party candidate. That poll shows 12% support for Trump, exactly where he was in 2020. The USA Today/Suffolk University poll shows a less compelling picture of Blacks moving toward Trump. In a USA Today/Suffolk University Poll reported in January, only 63% of Black voters indicated support for President Joe Biden, compared to 87% who voted for him in 2020. However, Blacks supported him at a fraction of what he received in 1960 - Nixon getting 10% of the Black vote in 1968 and 13% in 1972. Nixon returned and won the presidency in 1968 and1972. ![]() ![]() The Republican candidate, Barry Goldwater, opposed passage of the Civil Rights Act and got 4% of the Black vote. The next election in 1964 was, for Blacks, about the Civil Rights Movement. ![]()
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